Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.006710 0.007756 0.008983 0.010546 0.012513 0.014944 0.018238
2025-11-02 0.005231 0.006467 0.008066 0.010346 0.013628 0.018371 0.026156
2025-11-09 0.004295 0.005525 0.007213 0.009801 0.013875 0.020467 0.033055
2025-11-16 0.003696 0.004895 0.006614 0.009399 0.014112 0.022504 0.040892
2025-11-23 0.003382 0.004603 0.006429 0.009553 0.015244 0.026467 0.055298
2025-11-30 0.003066 0.004258 0.006099 0.009383 0.015728 0.029359 0.069790
2025-12-07 0.002777 0.003918 0.005725 0.009055 0.015809 0.031411 0.084167
2025-12-14 0.002571 0.003683 0.005487 0.008926 0.016250 0.034526 0.106261
2025-12-21 0.002469 0.003602 0.005494 0.009251 0.017764 0.041280 0.155747
2025-12-28 0.002402 0.003570 0.005580 0.009744 0.019832 0.051122 0.252193
2026-01-04 0.002293 0.003455 0.005500 0.009876 0.021055 0.059225 0.378558
2026-01-11 0.002166 0.003298 0.005323 0.009769 0.021606 0.065358 0.533844
2026-01-18 0.002056 0.003171 0.005211 0.009838 0.022855 0.076567 0.935791
2026-01-25 0.001927 0.003003 0.005002 0.009653 0.023325 0.085165 1.572023
2026-02-01 0.001781 0.002791 0.004685 0.009157 0.022642 0.087135 2.163413
2026-02-08 0.001662 0.002620 0.004437 0.008790 0.022293 0.091048 3.341834
2026-02-15 0.001603 0.002555 0.004393 0.008931 0.023775 0.109433 11.728972
2026-02-22 0.001522 0.002444 0.004245 0.008776 0.024133 0.120883 44.031771
2026-03-01 0.001437 0.002318 0.004054 0.008477 0.023847 0.127008 217.483694
2026-03-08 0.001373 0.002230 0.003935 0.008359 0.024259 0.141062 NaN
2026-03-15 0.001347 0.002211 0.003965 0.008656 0.026573 0.182943 NaN
2026-03-22 0.001332 0.002214 0.004041 0.009105 0.029876 0.256608 NaN
2026-03-29 0.001295 0.002170 0.004008 0.009226 0.031714 0.322939 NaN